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Red60
767431.5
147415.8
130726.8
Blue128
534730.7
31939.1
234256.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821245010015020060128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#12
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points2
60Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#39
31.50.7
28.027.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
blue by 24.4
56.01.6
36.037.6
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
Second
1307
#30
26.80.7
26.726.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
blue by 12.2
319
#10
39.11.6
33.234.8
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Third
1474
#38
15.80.7
16.115.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 14.9
5347
#27
30.71.6
32.634.3
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned