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Red81
107127.4
271216.9
192230.5
Blue126
490969.2
636733.2
50115.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54122010015020081126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
56Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
81Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#22
30.50.8
26.126.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 38.7
69.20.9
66.167.0
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
Second
1071
#37
27.40.8
18.919.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 5.8
6367
#15
33.20.9
24.425.3
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
Third
2712
#24
16.90.8
12.513.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 1.8
501
#26
15.10.9
11.011.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned