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Qual 282025 NE District UNH Event
Red137
804648.7
403412.3
13854.6
Blue133
13147.5
669023.5
359732.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071078090100120130140150137133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+14
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
16Coral scored#26
59Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
87Total teleop118
Reef
7L4#12
8L3#5
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
137Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
54.63.0
38.9→41.9
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
red by 7.1
131
#35
47.52.7
47.4→50.1
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
Second
8046
#7
48.73.0
42.4→45.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
red by 15.8
3597
#23
32.92.7
25.7→28.4
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
4034
#33
12.33.0
10.7→13.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 11.3
6690
#29
23.52.7
19.5→22.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed