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Qual 292025 NE District UNH Event
Red121
790710.9
287766.3
689522.3
Blue143
13363.6
50940.2
534730.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98130406080120140160180200121143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
77Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
121Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#4
66.31.4
58.1→59.5
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
red by 2.7
133
#3
63.61.1
51.2→52.3
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Second
6895
#25
22.31.4
18.6→20.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
blue by 17.9
509
#8
40.21.1
24.2→25.3
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
7907
#40
10.91.4
11.2→12.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 19.8
5347
#27
30.71.1
34.3→35.3
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned