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Red100
767431.5
192230.5
476121.5
Blue89
208424.3
172128.1
107127.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826305010015020025010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
91Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#2
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
100Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#39
31.51.3
27.328.6
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 3.4
1721
#19
28.11.4
13.414.8
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Second
1922
#22
30.51.3
26.928.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
red by 3.1
1071
#37
27.41.4
19.721.1
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
4761
#16
21.51.3
12.113.5
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
blue by 2.8
2084
#17
24.31.4
20.922.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed