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Red135
271216.9
454635.0
632873.6
Blue34
124710.2
731416.3
130726.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416305010020013534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+79Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +48
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
74Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
135Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.7
62.963.6
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 46.8
1307
#30
26.82.1
26.023.9
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
Second
4546
#14
35.00.7
40.040.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 18.7
7314
#31
16.32.1
16.514.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Third
2712
#24
16.90.7
13.314.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 6.7
1247
#36
10.22.1
14.912.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed