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Red173
31939.1
346771.9
804648.7
Blue165
13854.6
841035.7
490969.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175151100200250173165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
27Coral scored#22
97Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
139Total teleop119
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#8
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
173Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.4
68.569.9
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 2.7
69.22.1
65.867.9
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
Second
48.71.4
45.446.8
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
blue by 5.8
138
#11
54.62.1
41.944.0
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
Third
319
#10
39.11.4
34.836.2
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
red by 3.3
8410
#21
35.72.1
25.427.5
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned