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Red50
403412.3
534730.7
208424.3
Blue79
632450.7
50115.1
492516.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78862040601001201401605079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
26Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
4Foul points0
50Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5347
#27
30.71.7
35.333.6
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
blue by 20.0
6324
#12
50.70.1
49.049.1
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
Second
2084
#17
24.31.7
22.320.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
red by 7.4
4925
#34
16.90.1
14.014.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Third
4034
#33
12.31.7
13.712.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 2.8
501
#26
15.10.1
14.114.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed