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Red113
234256.0
124710.2
669023.5
Blue143
287766.3
767431.5
271216.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79115204060100140160180113143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
76Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points12
113Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.02.0
42.044.0
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
blue by 10.4
66.31.6
59.561.1
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
6690
#29
23.52.0
22.224.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
blue by 8.0
7674
#39
31.51.6
28.630.2
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Third
1247
#36
10.22.0
12.814.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 6.7
2712
#24
16.91.6
14.015.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned