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Red79
107127.4
476121.5
856727.4
Blue119
31939.1
454635.0
23829.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771315010015020079119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
70Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
79Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1071
#37
27.40.0
21.121.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 11.6
319
#10
39.10.1
36.236.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Second
8567
#32
27.40.0
27.026.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
blue by 7.6
4546
#14
35.00.1
40.740.8
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Third
4761
#16
21.50.0
13.513.4
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
blue by 8.2
238
#28
29.70.1
23.023.1
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned