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Red135
731416.3
632873.6
13147.5
Blue137
841035.7
636733.2
13363.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612050100200135137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
43Coral points24
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
16Coral scored#20
56Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
86Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
135Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.5
63.664.0
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 10.0
133
#3
63.61.8
52.354.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Second
131
#35
47.50.5
50.150.5
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
red by 11.7
8410
#21
35.71.8
27.529.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
Third
7314
#31
16.30.5
14.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 16.9
6367
#15
33.21.8
29.731.5
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed