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Red225
346771.9
13854.6
50940.2
Blue142
534730.7
192230.5
172128.1
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1758950150200250225142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+77Teleop
+85Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +63
39Coral scored#19
142Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
174Total teleop111
Reef
18L4#10
10L3#7
10L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
53Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points2
225Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.93.7
69.973.7
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 41.2
5347
#27
30.72.0
33.635.6
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
Second
138
#11
54.63.7
44.047.8
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
red by 24.1
1922
#22
30.52.0
30.532.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
509
#8
40.23.7
27.631.3
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 12.0
1721
#19
28.12.0
17.419.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed