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Red139
476121.5
632873.6
872434.4
Blue121
147415.8
287766.3
403412.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11494406080140160180139121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#17
68Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
92Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
139Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.61.5
64.065.5
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 7.3
66.31.5
61.162.6
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
8724
#18
34.41.5
27.629.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
red by 18.6
1474
#38
15.81.5
13.715.3
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
4761
#16
21.51.5
13.415.0
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
red by 9.3
4034
#33
12.31.5
12.013.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned