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Red118
23829.7
359732.9
767431.5
Blue191
632873.6
492516.9
287766.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8916750100150200118191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+57
Endgame+79
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +42
0Leave9
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points42
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +15
20Coral scored#22
73Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
99Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#5
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
6Foul points0
118Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#23
32.90.9
29.830.7
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 40.7
73.62.5
66.168.6
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
Second
7674
#39
31.50.9
31.532.4
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
blue by 34.8
66.32.5
63.666.2
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Third
238
#28
29.70.9
26.127.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 12.8
4925
#34
16.92.5
12.114.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned