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Red98
234256.0
689522.3
856727.4
Blue157
271216.9
346771.9
632450.7
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961585020098157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
10Coral scored#21
35Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
53Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#10
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points6
98Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.1
46.246.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
blue by 15.9
71.90.8
72.373.1
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
Second
8567
#32
27.40.1
26.626.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
blue by 23.3
6324
#12
50.70.8
48.349.1
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
Third
6895
#25
22.30.1
20.820.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
red by 5.4
2712
#24
16.90.8
15.015.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned