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Red113
13147.5
124710.2
172128.1
Blue109
107127.4
50115.1
870834.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038150150200113109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
71Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
12Foul points0
113Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#35
47.50.1
48.648.5
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
red by 13.3
8708
#13
34.21.5
30.532.0
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Second
1721
#19
28.10.1
22.322.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 0.7
1071
#37
27.41.5
23.825.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
1247
#36
10.20.1
13.913.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 4.9
501
#26
15.11.5
15.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed