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Red101
636733.2
130726.8
669023.5
Blue117
50940.2
490969.2
872434.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8715950100200250101117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
81Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points0
101Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6367
#15
33.20.5
31.131.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
blue by 36.0
69.21.1
68.467.3
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
Second
1307
#30
26.80.5
24.424.9
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
blue by 13.3
509
#8
40.21.1
31.330.2
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
6690
#29
23.50.5
25.926.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
blue by 10.9
8724
#18
34.41.1
29.127.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed