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Red97
476121.5
23829.7
147415.8
Blue70
192230.5
454635.0
731416.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62112501001509770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
78Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points20
97Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#28
29.72.5
23.626.1
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
blue by 5.3
4546
#14
35.02.9
39.836.9
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Second
4761
#16
21.52.5
15.017.5
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
blue by 9.0
1922
#22
30.52.9
32.529.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
1474
#38
15.82.5
15.317.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 0.5
7314
#31
16.32.9
15.012.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned