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Red158
287766.3
208424.3
13854.6
Blue87
790710.9
271216.9
841035.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16051010020025015887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points48
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
97Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
158Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.0
62.663.6
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
red by 30.6
8410
#21
35.71.3
29.931.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
Second
138
#11
54.61.0
47.848.8
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
red by 37.7
2712
#24
16.91.3
13.615.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Third
2084
#17
24.31.0
21.122.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
red by 13.5
7907
#40
10.91.3
12.113.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned