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Red149
870834.2
234256.0
632873.6
Blue33
689522.3
492516.9
403412.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16738010015020025014933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+110Teleop
+116Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +82
17Coral scored#4
60Coral points16
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
18Processor points0
20Net points0
38Algae points0
98Total teleop16
Reef
11L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +116
0Foul points0
149Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.5
65.566.1
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 51.3
6895
#25
22.31.0
21.820.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Second
56.00.5
45.746.2
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
red by 39.0
4925
#34
16.91.0
13.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Third
8708
#13
34.20.5
29.930.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 21.9
4034
#33
12.31.0
13.612.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed