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Red129
632450.7
804648.7
534730.7
Blue115
31939.1
107127.4
172943.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610750200250129115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+34Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
81Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
129Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#12
50.70.9
49.248.3
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
red by 7.0
43.70.5
36.637.1
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
48.70.9
47.346.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
red by 9.7
319
#10
39.10.5
36.436.9
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Third
5347
#27
30.70.9
35.634.7
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
red by 3.2
1071
#37
27.40.5
23.323.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned