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Red112
359732.9
346771.9
124710.2
Blue151
172128.1
13363.6
590222.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15010850200250112151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
75Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#9
4L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
112Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.4
73.772.3
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 8.3
133
#3
63.62.9
55.858.7
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Second
3597
#23
32.91.4
31.229.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 4.8
1721
#19
28.12.9
19.422.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
1247
#36
10.21.4
15.313.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
blue by 12.0
5902
#20
22.12.9
17.220.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned