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Red100
841035.7
872434.4
731416.3
Blue81
534730.7
590222.1
172943.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610920406010012014016018010081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
73Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points0
100Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#21
35.71.8
31.333.1
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
blue by 7.9
43.70.7
37.136.4
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
8724
#18
34.41.8
27.929.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
red by 3.7
5347
#27
30.70.7
34.734.0
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
Third
7314
#31
16.31.8
12.113.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 5.8
5902
#20
22.10.7
20.119.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned