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Qual 592025 NE District UNH Event
Red128
147415.8
13147.5
804648.7
Blue145
490969.2
208424.3
476121.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127120050100150200250128145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
102Total teleop105
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#9
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
128Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#7
48.70.2
46.3→46.6
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
blue by 20.5
4909
#5
69.21.2
67.3→68.5
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
Second
131
#35
47.50.2
48.5→48.7
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
red by 23.2
2084
#17
24.31.2
22.1→23.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
1474
#38
15.80.2
17.8→18.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 5.7
4761
#16
21.51.2
17.5→18.7
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed