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Red173
234256.0
872434.4
13363.6
Blue165
767431.5
841035.7
632873.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149142100120160180200220173165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
105Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#10
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
173Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
63.62.2
60.462.6
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
blue by 10.0
73.61.8
68.670.4
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
Second
56.02.2
46.448.6
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
red by 20.2
8410
#21
35.71.8
33.134.8
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
Third
8724
#18
34.42.2
29.732.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
red by 2.9
7674
#39
31.51.8
32.434.1
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned