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Red86
271216.9
172943.7
359732.9
Blue80
403412.3
107127.4
13147.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90102501508680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
56Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
86Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.2
36.436.6
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
blue by 3.8
131
#35
47.50.5
48.748.2
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
Second
3597
#23
32.90.2
30.730.9
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 5.5
1071
#37
27.40.5
25.324.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
2712
#24
16.90.2
15.816.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 4.6
4034
#33
12.30.5
14.213.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed