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Red114
804648.7
669023.5
172128.1
Blue62
636733.2
534730.7
147415.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111101608012014016011462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
76Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points6
114Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.5
46.647.1
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
red by 15.5
6367
#15
33.22.3
32.530.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
Second
1721
#19
28.10.5
22.122.7
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 2.5
5347
#27
30.72.3
34.031.7
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
Third
6690
#29
23.50.5
22.523.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 7.7
1474
#38
15.82.3
18.015.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed