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Red108
590222.1
490969.2
31939.1
Blue166
50940.2
632450.7
454635.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511336080100120140160180200108166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+74
Endgame+52
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +53
13Coral scored#24
46Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
66Total teleop119
Reef
7L4#11
3L3#11
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points6
108Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.22.3
68.566.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
red by 18.5
6324
#12
50.72.0
49.151.1
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
Second
319
#10
39.12.3
37.835.5
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
blue by 1.1
509
#8
40.22.0
31.533.5
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
5902
#20
22.12.3
19.417.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 12.9
4546
#14
35.02.0
33.035.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed