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Red51
790710.9
359732.9
534730.7
Blue105
403412.3
234256.0
192230.5
25%Model gave it75%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781025015051105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
51Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#23
32.91.6
30.929.3
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
blue by 23.1
56.01.0
48.649.6
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
Second
5347
#27
30.71.6
31.730.1
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
red by 0.1
1922
#22
30.51.0
28.029.0
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
7907
#40
10.91.6
12.210.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 1.4
4034
#33
12.31.0
13.614.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned