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Red127
669023.5
107127.4
490969.2
Blue145
632873.6
147415.8
590222.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291096080100120140160180127145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
17Coral scored#22
61Coral points80
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
91Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#14
5L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points6
127Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.0
66.266.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
blue by 4.4
73.61.6
70.472.0
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
Second
1071
#37
27.40.0
24.824.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
red by 5.3
5902
#20
22.11.6
17.018.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
Third
6690
#29
23.50.0
23.023.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 7.7
1474
#38
15.81.6
15.717.3
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed