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Red126
454635.0
13363.6
689522.3
Blue157
13854.6
870834.2
872434.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139123050100150200250126157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +39
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
71Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
18Cage & park14
18Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
126Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
63.60.3
62.662.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
red by 9.0
138
#11
54.63.2
45.348.5
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
Second
4546
#14
35.00.3
35.035.3
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 0.6
8724
#18
34.43.2
32.035.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
Third
6895
#25
22.30.3
21.421.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
blue by 11.9
8708
#13
34.23.2
29.132.3
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned