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Red125
841035.7
31939.1
208424.3
Blue115
172128.1
50115.1
287766.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111336080100120140160180200125115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
16Coral scored#23
58Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
80Total teleop95
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#9
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
125Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#10
39.11.0
35.536.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
blue by 27.3
66.30.6
65.264.6
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
8410
#21
35.71.0
34.835.8
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
red by 7.6
1721
#19
28.10.6
22.722.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
2084
#17
24.31.0
22.523.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
red by 9.2
501
#26
15.10.6
18.017.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed