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Qual 752025 NE District UNH Event
Red119
454635.0
767431.5
872434.4
Blue152
346771.9
13147.5
790710.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11515250100200119152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
23Coral scored#24
81Coral points87
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
99Total teleop125
Reef
12L4#10
5L3#10
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
119Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#14
35.00.7
35.3→34.6
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
blue by 36.8
3467
#2
71.90.2
69.6→69.8
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
Second
8724
#18
34.40.7
35.1→34.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
blue by 13.1
131
#35
47.50.2
47.3→47.6
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
Third
7674
#39
31.50.7
32.2→31.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 20.7
7907
#40
10.90.2
10.6→10.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed