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Red163
172943.7
490969.2
731416.3
Blue143
130726.8
359732.9
234256.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134113406080100160180200163143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
28Coral scored#18
100Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
118Total teleop106
Reef
17L4#11
7L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
163Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.22.3
66.268.5
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
red by 13.2
56.01.8
49.651.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
Second
43.72.3
36.638.9
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
red by 10.8
3597
#23
32.91.8
29.331.1
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
7314
#31
16.32.3
14.016.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 10.5
1307
#30
26.81.8
25.527.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned