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Red129
841035.7
107127.4
287766.3
Blue151
870834.2
50940.2
31939.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611850100200129151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +31
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
73Total teleop104
Reef
3L4#9
6L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
129Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.5
64.664.1
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
red by 26.2
509
#8
40.22.0
35.037.0
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
8410
#21
35.70.5
35.835.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
blue by 3.3
319
#10
39.12.0
36.438.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Third
1071
#37
27.40.5
24.824.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 6.7
8708
#13
34.22.0
32.334.3
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned