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Red149
172128.1
13854.6
636733.2
Blue128
23829.7
172943.7
492516.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610150150200149128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#18
76Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
18Processor points18
20Net points32
38Algae points50
114Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points0
149Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
54.61.5
48.550.0
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
red by 10.9
43.71.6
38.940.5
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
6367
#15
33.21.5
31.132.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
red by 3.5
238
#28
29.71.6
27.629.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Third
1721
#19
28.11.5
22.123.5
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 11.2
4925
#34
16.91.6
15.316.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed