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Red94
13363.6
147415.8
856727.4
Blue27
50115.1
271216.9
403412.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1314701001502009427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
10Coral scored#2
37Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
65Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
2Foul points6
94Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
63.61.5
62.961.4
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
red by 46.7
2712
#24
16.92.4
19.216.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
8567
#32
27.41.5
28.927.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
red by 12.3
501
#26
15.12.4
17.415.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
1474
#38
15.81.5
17.315.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 3.5
4034
#33
12.32.4
14.612.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed