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Red120
632450.7
192230.5
208424.3
Blue141
632873.6
130726.8
804648.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11017350100150200250120141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
61Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
120Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#12
50.70.8
49.250.0
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
blue by 22.9
73.60.5
72.071.5
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
Second
1922
#22
30.50.8
29.029.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 18.2
48.70.5
48.648.1
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Third
2084
#17
24.30.8
23.524.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
blue by 2.5
1307
#30
26.80.5
27.326.8
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned