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Red159
490969.2
192230.5
632450.7
Blue171
234256.0
172128.1
13854.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169149050100200250300350400159171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
106Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#9
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
159Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.0
69.269.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
red by 13.2
56.00.7
54.755.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
Second
6324
#12
50.70.0
50.750.7
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
blue by 3.9
138
#11
54.60.7
53.353.9
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
Third
1922
#22
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
red by 2.4
1721
#19
28.10.7
26.827.5
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2