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Red199
632873.6
359732.9
346771.9
Blue156
13363.6
590222.1
287766.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197157100250199156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
112Total teleop98
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#9
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#34
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
199Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.5
73.073.5
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 7.3
66.30.2
64.364.5
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
71.90.5
71.371.8
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 8.3
133
#3
63.60.2
61.661.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Third
3597
#23
32.90.5
32.633.1
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 10.8
5902
#20
22.10.2
20.120.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5