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Red167
490969.2
192230.5
632450.7
Blue114
31939.1
636733.2
804648.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167135100150200167114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+51Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points11
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +31
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
111Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#3
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
167Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.3
68.969.2
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
red by 20.5
48.70.3
49.148.7
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Second
6324
#12
50.70.3
50.450.7
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
red by 11.6
319
#10
39.10.3
39.439.1
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Third
1922
#22
30.50.3
30.230.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 2.7
6367
#15
33.20.3
33.533.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8