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Red208
234256.0
172128.1
13854.6
Blue198
172943.7
50940.2
107127.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152123100200250208198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
28Coral scored#29
99Coral points104
3Processor algae#6
7Net algae#4
18Processor points36
28Net points16
46Algae points52
145Total teleop156
Reef
11L4#13
9L3#8
8L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
208Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.3
53.454.7
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
red by 12.3
43.71.7
42.043.7
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
138
#11
54.61.3
52.053.3
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
red by 14.4
509
#8
40.21.7
38.540.2
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
1721
#19
28.11.3
25.526.8
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 0.7
1071
#37
27.41.7
25.727.4
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1