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Red134
13363.6
590222.1
287766.3
Blue102
870834.2
872434.4
13147.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170130100150200134102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
76Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
134Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.3
64.163.8
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
red by 18.9
131
#35
47.50.3
47.647.2
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
Second
133
#3
63.60.3
61.461.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
red by 29.2
8724
#18
34.40.3
34.534.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
Third
5902
#20
22.10.3
19.919.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 12.1
8708
#13
34.20.3
34.333.9
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2