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Red153
234249.3
23836.1
105834.2
Blue131
870844.0
13146.8
767431.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14214450100200153131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
red by 2.5
131
#8
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
Second
238
#6
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
blue by 7.9
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
Third
1058
#26
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
red by 2.7
7674
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1