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Red178
332321.0
632462.2
31933.6
Blue103
172131.5
454635.0
81124.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147116050100200250300178103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
red by 27.1
4546
#12
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Second
319
#2
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 2.1
1721
#13
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
3323
#25
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
blue by 3.1
811
#17
24.20.0
24.224.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7