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Red126
16662.0
172946.1
872425.7
Blue146
841045.9
50946.3
804649.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134162050100200250300126146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#11
62.00.0
62.062.0
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
red by 12.9
8046
#18
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
Second
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
blue by 0.2
509
#10
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Third
8724
#27
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8
blue by 20.2
8410
#28
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5