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Red126
192223.4
15136.9
107351.0
Blue127
870844.0
13146.8
767431.5
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117142050100200250126127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#14
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
red by 4.2
131
#8
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
Second
151
#16
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
blue by 7.1
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
Third
1922
#19
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.3
blue by 8.2
7674
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1