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Red121
359722.0
234253.0
804649.2
Blue214
115355.0
176868.8
19079.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15425750100200300350121214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points42
27Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +61
15Coral scored#30
54Coral points109
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
86Total teleop147
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#9
4L2#11
3L1 · trough#7
27Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
2Foul points0
121Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.3
61.058.6
Auto13.6
Teleop34.5
End4.9
blue by 26.2
190
#1
79.31.2
82.781.5
Auto24.0
Teleop46.2
End9.1
Second
8046
#14
49.22.3
53.851.4
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
blue by 19.6
68.81.2
76.475.2
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End5.4
Third
3597
#24
22.02.3
28.125.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 33.0
1153
#12
55.01.2
61.260.0
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned