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Red146
31932.4
111939.8
346762.9
Blue92
172935.5
944326.7
173528.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17610905015020025014692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
90Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
146Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.91.0
68.467.4
Auto13.0
Teleop43.1
End6.9
red by 27.4
1729
#17
35.51.7
34.933.1
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Second
39.81.0
36.635.6
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
red by 11.0
1735
#23
28.81.7
30.328.6
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
319
#5
32.41.0
36.135.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.9
red by 5.7
9443
#18
26.71.7
32.030.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed