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Red161
581373.0
107349.2
362323.3
Blue126
632455.7
16650.7
13142.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167193050100250300350400161126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
23Coral scored#21
84Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
104Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
161Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.1
73.073.1
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 17.3
6324
#22
55.73.5
64.961.4
Auto14.0
Teleop37.3
End4.4
Second
49.20.1
56.356.4
Auto14.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
blue by 1.5
166
#10
50.73.5
58.354.9
Auto10.8
Teleop30.8
End9.0
Third
23.30.1
19.419.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.8
blue by 18.8
131
#20
42.03.5
43.740.2
Auto10.4
Teleop26.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned